Sabtu, 01 November 2008

GOP Strategist Ed Rollins Considers The Obama Campaign To Be The Best Presidential Campaign That He Has Seen

Veteran Republican Strategist Ed Rollins is an authoritative voice or reality compared to the bluster coming from the McCain Campaign that seems to sense "victory" in the air. Rollins has stated that he admires that the Obama effort has been the "best" campaign that he has ever seen.

The fact of the matter is that with so much preparation and organization, as well as carefully scripted appearances that avoided gaffes, with the exception of a few loose comments from Joe Biden, the Obama Campaign has been remarkable and well chore-graphed. By contrast, John McCain's Campaign has been troubled by so many goofy moments of less than professionalism as well as Palin going off script and becoming a shrill voice making absurd and groundless charges.

On Tuesday evening, when the polls began to close in Virginia and Indiana at 7:00pm Eastern time, if Obama wins in either or both states, it will clear that John McCain cannot win the election as "Red" states that voted for George Bush twice are slipping away from the GOP due to the economy. And by 8:00 Eastern time, some real trends should be clear and it pretty clear if the superior Obama organization has managed their big win or not. Right now the Obama Campaign is even making some play for John McCain's native Arizona which should still lean to McCain, but is much closer than it really should be for McCain's native state. This has in itself to be a very bad omen. this trend is remarkably similar to the 1964 vote in Arizona, where native son Barry Goldwater barely won his home state over Lyndon Johnson capturing just over 50% of the vote, only winning by a bare 4,780 votes. McCain should do a little better than that, by not by very much according to some polls. This is a real bell weather of the uphill climb of McCain.

By contrast, Barack Obama is expected to sweep many large states by 20+ point margins including his native Illinois, New York and California. In California, Obama could exceed even Ronald Reagan's biggest win ever in both number of votes as well the winning percentages.

Ed Rollins is a realist, warning that the GOP must wake up on Wednesday morning and begin planning for 2012 as this is one election where the landscape is very bad for the GOP. And for the Democrats who are expected to pick up the White House as well as to make gains in both the senate and congress, it will be up to them to show results to maintain their majority and enact their revival of the American economy and their political agenda.

Also of great importance is that as many as three Supreme Court seats could potentially become open during the Obama presidency due to retirement of aging justices, and all three seats are of judges on the liberal wing of the court. Obama will need to appoint justices to maintain this balance which would certainly go further to the right under McCain.

Many issues are at stake in this election, which might prove to be a big Democratic rout if the current polls are correct. And Ed Rollins believes that they are indeed correct.

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